Tuesday, November 4, 2008

"It's all over but the dying" (voting) a election night watching guide

The election is today, as you likely know. I encourage you all to go out and vote. It would appear that those incredible turn-out numbers that some of the polls were assuming might actually happen. That's bad for John McCain.

How you can tell who won by 4:00pm

If John McCain doesn't win Indiana by more than 7 or 8 points... you can be pretty sure Obama will win.

If Obama wins Virginia by more than 4 or 5 points, you can be very sure he'll win.

If McCain doesn't win North Carolina by 4 or 5 points you can be very sure Obama will win.

We should have a very good guess about who is our winner by about 4:00 pm.

If we do have to wait until 5:00pm watch Ohio and Pennsylvania. Obviously if Obama or McCain win both it'll be a big boost to either of them. Though if they split check out the margins. If either of them is not close favor the person who managed to win big to win Florida and end the election at 5:00pm when the panhandle closes.

If, shockingly, we get past 6:00pm without a really clear idea who will win it'll be 7:00pm when Colorado and New Mexico come and probably clinch things things.

It is only very slightly possible that we'll still not know for sure at 8:00pm when Nevada truly must be decisive.

Good luck to your guy!

1 comment:

lady.in.waiting said...

It's almost 5 now ;)
And McCain takes the lead with the first two states in! haha
This is going to be an interesting night. Everyone here in CA have been in such a good, pleasant mood. You can feel it...