Wednesday, September 10, 2008

The McCain bounce #2: Sarah Palin

Sarah Palin

Media Matters

We've just finished discussing the media and how Barack has been sidelined in the last few weeks. Sarah Palin was the most important factor in setting McCain up for a bump in the polls. Palin was brutally, unfairly and ridiculously attacked by the left-leaning Media.

These media folks were not attacking her because they hate her. They know that sensationalism gets good ratings! Hate or Love Palin, but it moves product to talk about her... the more personal the better. The Media surely was spurred by their preference for Obama but their first motivation was selling copy. This motivation was misunderstood by the folks. When people saw Palin being attacked they assumed it was primarily because the media was 'in the tank' for Obama. Starting with that miss-perception the dichotomy of the Media vs. McCain was reinforced, further sidelining Obama and costing him in the polls.

Victim Politics

Unfortunately for Obama these attacks turned Palin into a victim around which the vast political middle rallied. Hate is really ugly and that's what the response to Palin looked like. Coupled with the fact that nothing that has come to light is really significant enough to make people who weren't going to vote against her anyway question Palin herself. Some of the things that have come up have even helped her. The attacks on her family and the fact that those attacks came before attacks on her record offended the very demographics where Obama was weakest: white women and working class white men. The charges that Obama was out of touch with real American folks were reinforced by the assumption that the Media=Obama in combination with it's shameless smearing of a character with which people identified.

To Obama's credit he's tried to fight this off. He knows that the Media is hurting him, and as I reported on this blog, he's condemned the mean-spirited attacks. He has stuck to the more reasonable (if slightly ironic) attack that she's not ready to be president should McCain die. That's a valid point, she's not ready. Thankfully, she's also not running for President.

The feminist factor

I'm also convinced that the tension between identity and ideology within the feminist movement has helped Palin. Too many of those middle American white women who otherwise support Democrats for economic reasons are turned off by the extreme leftist social agenda championed by 'feminists.' E.G. to be feminists do women really have to philosophically support abortion? The backlash against 'type 1' feminism was already a well documented phenomena. Those women who are happy to see women advance and have the opportunity to earn equal wages for equal work etc. do not necessarily embrace the entire leftist agenda that was adopted by feminists in the 60's. Don't forget that Dr. Laura's audience is mostly women and that it is remarkably shallow to dismiss this big group of women who are proud to embrace some of the traditional female roles as stupid. So Palin's a woman, and she's advancing. That alone will get her some votes from women who will vote their identity. Because they're disenchanted with the ideology of feminism and are being offered an alternative the leftist attacks on Palin feed into a pre-existing gripe that especially lower-middle class traditional white women have with a Democrat party with which they would otherwise support.

Conclusions

So Palin moved the dial on her own and she reinforced some of the factors that were already hurting Barack Obama. That still wasn't enough though, when people went to check out John McCain's speech, watch his commercials and read his website they still had to like what they saw... or at least consider him a safe alternative to Obama. More on McCain tomorrow.

7 comments:

Anonymous said...

"A pig with lipstick is still a pig"
GAME OVER OBAMA

Ariel White said...

Hey, devil's advocate here... what are your thoughts on the public/media/McCain campaign response to the Obama campaign's sexism, race-wise? Would people have responded so protectively had the situation not involved a white woman being "threatened" by a black man? I ask this definitely not to excuse the blatant sexism I've been seeing all campaign (and, yes, before Sarah Palin entered the race, too), but to point out that these prejudices play off one another in sometimes unnoticed ways. Anyway, case in point: the new McCain "wolves" ad.

Anonymous said...

I actually don't disagree with large portions of this. Some causal emphasis elsewhere, some different conclusions, not awful though.

One is the most obvious: Palin is popular among men, not women. McCain has not gained any bounce as a result of Palin among women, somewhat surprisingly. I will find the opinion survey if I am forced to.

Meghan, Carson and the Kiddos said...

It's interesting that you point out the new feminist ideals. I feel that while I have stepped into a more traditional role, i.e. wife, mother with a house and dog, I always feel that women should have the opportunity to succeed. I don't believe though that they have to give up the joys of a more traditional life style to do so. I call it reformed feminism because women now have the choice to stay home and have a family or go into the work force, or have both. We actually have the choice which our predecessors in the 60's did not have. Job well done!

Blake On Wax said...

I'm still not convinced that the media is biased towards a particular candidate this time around. If the media was so hell bent on getting Obama elected why did they roll footage of reverend wright constantly? Why did they pay so much attention to frustrated Clinton supporters when nearly 10,000 people attended a Ron Paul rally in opposition to the RNC and they barely covered it? Lets not forget that not too long ago McCain was quoted as saying the media was "his base". I think part of their coverage of Obama (and I agree sometimes their coverage has leaned Obama at certain moments, I still don't buy that its a perpetual thing though) is that hes an interesting story. Lets not forget just how much of a shocker it was that he managed to upset one of if not the most well known political family in this country - especially as an African American born of a Kenyan in Hawaii raised in Kansas bestselling author. As a reporter - could you make up a more interesting story?

I would again mention that I think we're going to look back at these national tracking polls and think they were pretty bogus. If this is a convention bounce, lets not forget that Dukakis had a 17 point one.

MichaelBluth said...

I have no choice but to start a complimentary blog called "The Political Frying Pan".

Also, to post this comment, I had to submit a "word verification". The word I had to verify was wtmdmh. Calling is a word verification is a bit disingenuous, no?

MichaelBluth said...

Ok, so the frying pan joke wasn't the greatest, but it's the best I could do. I'm tired you bastards. :)